Will the BJP lose in the UP 2021 election?
With the battle for the Uttar Pradesh Assembly election intensifying by the day, younger leaders from the Opposition camp are emerging in the state.
It has been a long-time labour that appears to be bearing fruits on the Uttar Pradesh's political branch to bring about electoral change putting the prestige of some prominent faces at stake.
Uttar Pradesh Assembly election 2022 will be the biggest political battle of 2022. 43% Voters believe that BJP will win the 2022 UP election.
29.6% think that SP will win the 2022 assembly election
42% Voter in UP believe prefer CM Yogi Adityanath while 32% prefer Akhilesh Yadav.
The elections in the state are likely to be held in February next year. The term of the present Uttar Pradesh assembly will expire on March 14, 2022.
While the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic brought destruction all across the country, the images from UP of Covid infected bodies floating in Ganga particularly highlighted the misery of people.
Yogi Adityanath has been facing flak of the opposition for his handling of the pandemic.
The holding of the Panchayat polls during the second wave, which resulted in the deaths of over a thousand officials and teachers on duty, along with the loss in Panchayat polls, has put the BJP in damage control mode ahead of next year's assembly elections.
ABP News Cvoter - Survey - (18th March 2021) released their UP election opinion poll on 18th March 2021. As per the poll, BJP may win 289 out of 403 Legislative Assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh which is a dip of 36 seats as it won 325 seats in 2017 polls. Samajwadi Party is likely to get 59 seats (+12) while BSP and Congress may get 38 seats (+19), 9 seats (-3) respectively. The polls shows BJP may bag as much as 41 per cent vote share in case elections happens today.
The CM's approval ratings are at 54%, quite comfortable for re-election.
Most of the exit polls had BJP winning the maximum seats, however, except Dainik Bhaskar none of the exit polls predicted BJP winning over 300 seats on its own. Here is how the Exit Polls released on 9 March 2017 had calculated seats for respective parties:
Prior to Assembly election of 2022, a bye election for 7 Assembly seats was held on 3rd November 2020. Of the 7 seats, BJP retained 6 seats and Samajwadi Party won 1 seat.
During 2019 Lok Sabha election, SP and BSP came together however, as for 2022 Assembly election Mayawati’s Samajwadi Party is set to contest the election on her own. Congress on the other hand may form its own alliance which may include Bhim Army.
BJP may contest in an alliance with Apna Dal and NISHAD Party. Samajwadi Party will be contesting in alliance with RLD and Pragatisheel Samajwadi Party (Lohiya).
कोई टिप्पणी नहीं:
एक टिप्पणी भेजें